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   1 - Global warming

   2 - Dependence on
        foreign energy

   3 - Trade deficit

   4 - Pollution from non-
        renewable fuels

The 'burning platform' of climate change

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This entry was posted on 6/4/2008 9:52 PM and is filed under Global Warming,Economy,Leadership,Costs of INACTION.


From the AP on May 29, 2008 - White House issues climate report 4 years late.  Excerpts including the 'Big 6' problems coming at us (my bold):

     "Andrew Weaver, a Canadian climate scientist who was not involved in the effort called it 'a litany of bad news in store for the U.S.'

     1_ Increased heat deaths and deaths from climate-worsened smog. In Los Angeles alone yearly heat fatalities could increase by more than 1,000 by 2080, and the Midwest and Northeast are most vulnerable to increased heat deaths.

     2_ Worsening water shortages for agriculture and urban users. From California to New York, lack of water will be an issue.

     3_ A need for billions of dollars in more power plants (one major cause of global warming gases) to cool a hotter country. The report says summer cooling will mean Seattle's energy consumption would increase by 146 percent with the warming that could come by the end of the century.  [The death spiral of global warming]

     4_ More death and damage from wildfires, hurricanes and other natural disasters and extreme weather. In the last three decades, wildfire season in the West has increased by 78 days.

     5_ Increased insect infestations and food- and waterborne microbes and diseases. Insect and pathogen outbreaks to the forests are causing $1.5 billion in annual losses.

     6_'Finally, climate change is very likely to accentuate the disparities already evident in the American health care system,' the report said. 'Many of the expected health effects are likely to fall disproportionately on the poor, the elderly, the disabled and the uninsured.'"

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

A couple of facts related to this report are very sad:

    - that these years of discussion and potential action have been lost; when you're on a burning platform, you need to act.
    - regardless of the wasted time and obstructionism, why are these climate change effects not all over the news?
    - this is speculation based on previous watering-down of global warming threats but, given that this actually made it out of the current administration - how dire are these problems really?  Are they much worse than the report states?

Often the argument against taking any action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is possible economic harm.   Any business person that's not concerned about these effects has their head in the sand.

It's time to mitigate these problems by starting to pay the external costs of our energy use at the time we use it.  The best way to do this is a phased-in, federal tax shift from income to non-renewable energy.


P.S. - history will judge this obstructionism harshly

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Comments

    • 6/8/2008 7:35 PM Jim Blair wrote:
      Hi,

      On point #3, yes we will need much more electric power in the future. Not only because of expanding population, but also due to more AC from a warming climate and more electric cars if high gas prices continue (as is likely).

      But for those who imagine that wind energy is clean and safe, the Discovery Channel has a program series on “Dirty Jobs’. The one June 8, 2008 was about a wind farm in Oklahoma. The wind farm of 160 or so turbines generates electric power from a ideal location. The wind is more reliable than in most locations and the turbines were aligned in rows facing the prevailing wind, an indication of constant wind direction.

      But each turbine must be shut down and serviced twice a week. The bolts are tightened and the lubricating oil changed. This is the routine maintenance schedule, in addition to any repairs needed. This routine maintenance is one of the “dirty” and dangerous jobs described in the TV series. The workers must climb up the inside of the turbine base several hundred feet to the top to do their job. The most dangerous part is exiting the top to tighten the bolts that hold the upper parts together since the wind induced vibrations shake them loose. This requires the workers to be outside on top of the generator housing, often in strong and gusting winds. Of course they clamp themselves to metal loops attached to the turret housing to reduce the danger of falling, but being blown off of the flat turret top would still be hazardous and recovery from the tether line is not certain.

      The work inside changing the oil and cleaning up grime and spilled oil is the dirty part, as the dirty oil is typically laced with dead wasps and other insects. They did not expect crickets to be several hundred feet above the ground and into the generator mechanism. The most serious injury described in the program was a worker being bitten by a rattlesnake that had found its way into the turbine housing. Since the wind farm is in a remote location, by the time the worker got to a medical facility he was in serious condition, but fortunately survived with no long term harm. But rattlesnakes are one of the hazards of wind power, at least in the West.

      This program gives some insight as to why wind energy with its “free fuel” is still more expensive than coal or natural gas, as long as the cost of the CO2 emitted in not included in the price.
      Reply to this
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