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   1 - Global warming

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        renewable fuels

With ethanol we're feeding the pig

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This entry was posted on 7/22/2007 11:34 PM and is filed under Biofuels.





And it's costing billions.

The "pig" is U.S. consumption of oil - 20.6 million barrels/day (24% of the world's total).  Yet U.S. population is less than 5% of the world's total.  Ethanol subsidies reduce the cost of non-renewable energy, thereby encouraging more energy use.

My primary beef against ethanol - from the Department of Energy --> the "net energy balance" of making fuel ethanol from corn grain is 1.34; that is, for every unit of energy that goes into growing corn and turning it into ethanol, we get back about one-third more energy as automotive fuel.

And, all 2.34 units of energy used contribute to global warming.
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Other details including, 'How much are the subsidies?'  From a June 8, 2007 article in the Washington Post by Steven Mufson and Dan Morgan (bold added)- 

     If the current tax credits, grants and loan guarantees are extended, the package would cost taxpayers $140 billion more over the next 15 years. New proposals under consideration in Congress could raise that tab to $205 billion.  Neither the White House nor Congress has spelled out how they plan to square the costs with other budget priorities.  

     The agribusiness community has recently split over the issue. The chicken and cattle industries, hurt by rising corn prices as demand for ethanol climbs, have lobbied against the generous tax subsidies for corn farmers and others in the ethanol industry.

     Moreover, the technology to produce cellulosic ethanol -- made from wood, waste or grasses -- at a commercially competitive price does not yet exist.

     Many economists cringe at that thought (cellulosic plants won't be built without government guarantees). "If the aim is to reduce gasoline consumption, the best way is to raise the gasoline tax," said Ian Parry, economist at Resources for the Future. "That exploits all potential options for saving fuel -- driving less, increasing vehicle fuel economy over the longer run, and creating more demand for hybrids and alternative fuels like ethanol. Lowering the price of ethanol only exploits the last of these responses, so it is far less cost-effective than raising gasoline taxes."

     Rep. Tim Holden (D-Pa.), who chairs the House Agriculture subcommittee dealing with energy, contended that "we
need a Manhattan Project . . . we need to be less dependent on energy." 
(No, we need you, or another representative to propose a tax shift from income to energy.)


So we're going to pay billions in subsides and even agribusiness doesn't support the subsidies because of unintended consequences like higher food prices.  Awarding subsidies like this is communistic.  It doesn't work.
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What is the Senate considering?  From a June 16, article in the Washington Post by Steven Mufson (bold added)-

     The proposal includes requirements that the use of biofuels -- part corn-based ethanol and part fuels made from other feedstocks -- climb to 36 billion gallons by 2022, more than six times the capacity of the nation's 115 ethanol refineries.
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Are these huge ethanol subsidies worth it?  If ethanol is so promising why are large subsidies needed?  Why are they backed by many Presidential candidates?  --> Two words: "Iowa primary"


Instead, why not shift federal income taxes to energy.  This would lead to less driving, less gasoline consumption, and therefore a smaller U.S. "energy pig."

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Comments

    • 7/23/2007 7:03 AM Mark Jeantheau wrote:
      The rush to ethanol is simply big money chasing fat subsidies in an area whose long-term future they don't understand well. For politicians and the public, it's a distraction from the real, painful choices that we will have to make once fantasies like replacing gasoline from petroleum with ethanol from corn are shown to have no basis in reality.

      I actually agree that we need a new Manhattan project, but not to come up with revolutionary technologies to solve the energy problem from the supply side, but to make us much more efficient and to revolutionize the way we live our lives. Supply side solutions are fine, but they will never be able to replace oil. Few politicians have the guts to tell the voting public that we have to start reducing energy use---voluntarily, gradually now; or chaotically, enforced by geology, in the future---so we're stuck chasing alluring dragons. Tax shifting is an excellent way to use the power of the market to steer us into more efficiency and saner choices.

      Back to ethanol. The boosters for this marginal energy source excuse the low net energy of corn ethanol by telling us that cellulosic ethanol---which has much higher net energy because it uses the entire plant, not just the sugary corn kernel---is just around the corner. Let's hope not. Standard farming practices---those that give us the corn and other feed stocks---already lead to nutrient depletion over time. Cellulosic-ethanol practices will cause much quicker nutrient depletion since the crop residue is not being returned to the soil to feed the organisms that MAKE soil. As one Peak Oil wag put it, the push for corn ethanol means we will burn up the remaining 6 inches of Midwest top soil in our gas tanks.

      For more on the sustainability problems with ethanol and other biofuels, see the Biofuels section of the GP article "Peak Oil and Environment":
      http://www.grinningplanet.com/2007/01-30/peak-oil-and-environment.htm
      Reply to this
    • 8/4/2007 10:55 AM Jim Blair wrote:
      Mark says:

      "Cellulosic-ethanol practices will cause much quicker nutrient depletion since the crop residue is not being returned to the soil to feed the organisms that MAKE soil. As one Peak Oil wag put it, the push for corn ethanol means we will burn up the remaining 6 inches of Midwest top soil in our gas tanks."

      That is correct. Part of the problem is that many (including the host of this blog) cannot see what the problem is: GHG, and NOT "energy". And they focus on "renewable" as being the same as "good". Biofuels (including corn ethanol) are "renewable" (we can grow our fuel). Hydro power is also "renewable"--never mind that a hydro dam typically silts up in century or so.

      But nuclear breeders are not "renewable" because continued reprocessing of a fuel rod would eventually stop producing new fuel--maybe in a hundred years or so

      We should get over the focus on "renewable": as the biofuels case illustrates, this is rather subjective concept. We focus should instead be on the real problem: climate change induced by GHG emissions. Tax shifting is the best tool but only if the taxes are on the causes of the problem.
      Reply to this
    • 8/4/2007 11:19 AM Jim Blair wrote:
      You say:

      "My primary beef against ethanol - from the Department of Energy --> the "net energy balance" of making fuel ethanol from corn grain is 1.34; that is, for every unit of energy that goes into growing corn and turning it into ethanol, we get back about one-third more energy as automotive fuel.

      And, all 2.34 units of energy used contribute to global warming."

      Hi,

      While your general conclusion is correct (biofuels aren't a very good answer for the USA using existing technology,) your "all 2.34 units of energy contribute to global warming" is misleading. 1.34 of the carbon is "recycled" from carbon extracted from the air when the corn was growing, and "only" one new unit is added to the air from petroleum used to grow and process the corn.

      NOTE: the figure 1.34 is disputed by some experts, especially by David Pimentel of Cornell, who claims that the net return is < 1.0

      IF the net GHG (including N2O) return on a biofuel were really 3 or more, then it might make some sense to accept the higher food costs in exchange for the GHG reduction.

      And ethanol Brazil is probably worth the investment. Because it is made from cane (about 8 times the sugar content of corn) AND the cane is harvested mostly by (carbohydrate fed) humans. If they switch to diesel power to grow and harvest the cane and/or feed the cane cutters more meat, then even that biofuel may not be much help.
      Reply to this
    • 8/6/2007 10:44 AM Raul wrote:
      Comparing how much energy is used to make ethanol is laughable compared to oil! Let's see, oil needs to be drilled for, hmmm... so those oil drills are free, and so is man power, and those rigs? Right, right. And then we have the OIL TANKERS, hmmm, them don't grow on trees, or do they? Hmmm... right, right. And what do THEY RUN ON? Hmmm... God's own methane? Yes, I think so? And semi-trucks that carry the refined product to market? Oh, again, must be "clean energy that costs nothing."

      Ethanol is merely a way to CUT BACK on oil, people, NOT the answer (even if in Brasil cars run ON ETHANOL!) Nope, can't do that here, that means CHANGE! TOO EASY, err, too HARD! Yes, that's the ticket.

      I got a fever, and the only cure, is MORE OIL.

      Drivin my HUMVEE to march against oil and global warming,

      A. H. Ippy
      Reply to this
      1. 8/13/2007 12:38 AM Paul Riehemann wrote:

         

        Dear Mr. A. H. Ippy,

        Nice hair.  And, thanks for your comment.

        Yep, lots of energy consumed too in the production of oil - that's why we should demand a federal income tax cut so we can replace the revenue with higher prices on oil and other non-renewable forms of energy.  What we're doing with ethanol is communism - particularly given the scale.  As a "long-haired freaky person" do YOU want the government trying to pick the winners in the energy "game?"

        Or, should we add taxes to the stuff causing the problems, give back the extra federal revenue in the form of an income tax cut and LET THE MARKET DECIDE?

        Regards,

        Scarlet Begonias

        P.S. - Yasgur's Farm is for sale.


        Reply to this
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